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Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers

Pythagoras

 
 
Field Value
 
Title Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers
 
Creator Elbehary, Samah G.A.
 
Subject — Allah’s willingness; Egypt; preservice mathematics teachers; probability biases; reasoning under uncertainty
Description Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics teachers (PSMTs) reason under uncertainty? A multiple case study design was operated in which a purposive sample of PSMTs was selected to justify their reasoning in two probabilistic contexts while their responses were coded by NVivo, and corresponding categories were developed. As a result, PSMTs’ probabilistic reasoning was classified into mathematical (M), subjective (S), and outcome-oriented (O). Besides, several biases emerged along with these modes of reasoning. While M thinkers shared equiprobability and insensitivity to prior probability, the prediction bias and the belief of Allah’s willingness were yielded among S thinkers. Also, the causal conception spread among O thinkers.
 
Publisher AOSIS Publishing
 
Contributor
Date 2021-12-17
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion — —
Format text/html application/epub+zip text/xml application/pdf
Identifier 10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630
 
Source Pythagoras; Vol 42, No 1 (2021); 15 pages 2223-7895 1012-2346
 
Language eng
 
Relation
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:

https://pythagoras.org.za/index.php/pythagoras/article/view/630/947 https://pythagoras.org.za/index.php/pythagoras/article/view/630/948 https://pythagoras.org.za/index.php/pythagoras/article/view/630/949 https://pythagoras.org.za/index.php/pythagoras/article/view/630/950
 
Coverage — — —
Rights Copyright (c) 2021 Samah G.A. Elbehary https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
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