Foot and mouth disease in Zambia: Spatial and temporal distributions of outbreaks, assessment of clusters and implications for control
Onderstepoort Journal of Veterinary Research
Field | Value | |
Title | Foot and mouth disease in Zambia: Spatial and temporal distributions of outbreaks, assessment of clusters and implications for control | |
Creator | Sinkala, Yona Simuunza, Martin Muma, John B. Pfeiffer, Dirk U. Kasanga, Christopher J. Mweene, Aaron | |
Description | Zambia has been experiencing low livestock productivity as well as trade restrictions owing to the occurrence of foot and mouth disease (FMD), but little is known about the epidemiology of the disease in these endemic settings. The fundamental questions relate to the spatio-temporal distribution of FMD cases and what determines their occurrence. A retrospective review of FMD cases in Zambia from 1981 to 2012 was conducted using geographical information systems and the SaTScan software package. Information was collected from peer-reviewed journal articles, conference proceedings, laboratory reports, unpublished scientific reports and grey literature. A space–time permutation probability model using a varying time window of one year was used to scan for areas with high infection rates. The spatial scan statistic detected a significant purely spatial cluster around the Mbala–Isoka area between 2009 and 2012, with secondary clusters in Sesheke–Kazungula in 2007 and 2008, the Kafue flats in 2004 and 2005 and Livingstone in 2012. This study provides evidence of the existence of statistically significant FMD clusters and an increase in occurrence in Zambia between 2004 and 2012. The identified clusters agree with areas known to be at high risk of FMD. The FMD virus transmission dynamics and the heterogeneous variability in risk within these locations may need further investigation. | |
Publisher | AOSIS | |
Date | 2014-04-23 | |
Identifier | 10.4102/ojvr.v81i2.741 | |
Source | Onderstepoort Journal of Veterinary Research; Vol 81, No 2 (2014); 6 pages 2219-0635 0030-2465 | |
Language | eng | |
Relation |
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:
https://ojvr.org/index.php/ojvr/article/view/741/1063
https://ojvr.org/index.php/ojvr/article/view/741/1071
https://ojvr.org/index.php/ojvr/article/view/741/1068
https://ojvr.org/index.php/ojvr/article/view/741/960
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