Does the financial market lead the business cycle in South Africa?

Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences

 
 
Field Value
 
Title Does the financial market lead the business cycle in South Africa?
 
Creator Botha, Ilsé
 
Subject financial liberalisation; financial indicator; leading indicator; real business cycle; emerging financial markets; developed markets
Description Financial markets play a significant role in an emerging market economy such as South Africa, especially after financial liberalisation. Financial liberalisation causes economies to interrelate across borders and between different sectors. The impact of this interrelationship can be captured by taking the different components of the financial market into account and relating these to the real sector, using the coincident indicator. It will be useful to identify an indicator representing the major components - equity market, capital market and the domestic financial sector - of the financial market in South Africa. This financial indicator will lead the coincident indicator, because the components of the financial indicator are available at a higher frequency than the components of the coincident indicator. This new indicator for South Africa will be of assistance in making more informed business decisions since it can be used to forecast turning points in the coincident indicator, i.e. the business cycle.
 
Publisher AOSIS
 
Contributor
Date 2008-04-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion —
Format application/pdf
Identifier 10.4102/jef.v2i1.360
 
Source Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences; Vol 2, No 1 (2008); 71-88 2312-2803 1995-7076
 
Language eng
 
Relation
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:

https://jefjournal.org.za/index.php/jef/article/view/360/442
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 Ilsé Botha https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
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