Predicting turning points in the South African economy
South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences
| Field | Value | |
| Title | Predicting turning points in the South African economy | |
| Creator | Moolman, Elna | |
| Description | Despite the existence of macroeconomic models and complex business cycle indicators, it would be beneficial to policymakers and market participants if they could look at one well-chosen indicator in predicting business cycle turning points. If one indicator accurately predicts business cycle turning points, it provides an easy way to confirm the predictions of macroeconomic models, or it can eliminate the need for a macroeconomic model if the interest is in the turning points and not in the levels of the business cycle. The objective of this paper is to investigate whether turning points of the South African business cycle can be predicted with only one economic indicator. | |
| Publisher | AOSIS Publishing | |
| Date | 2003-06-30 | |
| Identifier | 10.4102/sajems.v6i2.3315 | |
| Source | South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences; Vol 6, No 2 (2003); 289-303 2222-3436 1015-8812 | |
| Language | eng | |
| Relation |
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:
https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/3315/1874
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