How efficient is the Johannesburg Stock Exchange really?

South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences

 
 
Field Value
 
Title How efficient is the Johannesburg Stock Exchange really?
 
Creator Heymans, André Santana, Leonard
 
Subject finance; market efficiency Adaptive market hypothesis; varying market efficiency; JSE indices
Description Background: There are various studies that confirm the efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), implying that there are no opportunities for active portfolio managers to earn excess returns over the long run.Aim: The aim of the research is to prove that the sub-indices on the JSE go through cycles of efficiency and inefficiency even though the JSE as a whole might be considered informationally efficient.Setting: Although the JSE as a whole can be considered to be weak-form efficient, portfolio managers are not bound to investing in large liquid stocks alone. Many aggressive funds allow managers to also allocate a portion of their portfolio to smaller stocks. This has implications when considering the efficiency of the stocks being selected.Methods: Given the impact efficiency has on portfolio selection, we test for the adaptive market hypothesis using a representative sample of stock indices by means of the automatic variance ratio test, the Chow–Denning joint variance ratio and the joint sign test on the JSE.Results: Our results confirm that some of the smaller, and in some instances younger, indices are not always as efficient as the all share index, thus allowing portfolio managers with an active management approach some opportunities to profit from informational inefficiencies in the market.Conclusion: The practice of active management by portfolio managers in the South African market seems to defy logic if one considers the fact that the JSE as a whole is at the very least weak-form efficient. By proving that some of the sub-indices that make up the all share index are inefficient most of the time, this article shows that the phenomenon of active portfolio managers is less of a surprise.
 
Publisher AOSIS Publishing
 
Contributor None
Date 2018-10-29
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion — Quantitative
Format text/html application/epub+zip application/xml application/pdf
Identifier 10.4102/sajems.v21i1.1968
 
Source South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences; Vol 21, No 1 (2018); 14 pages 2222-3436 1015-8812
 
Language eng
 
Relation
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:

https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1968/1653 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1968/1652 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1968/1654 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1968/1634
 
Coverage South Africa 1997 - 2015 G11, G14
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 André Heymans, Leonard Santana https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
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