Factor structure of South African financial stocks

South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences

 
 
Field Value
 
Title Factor structure of South African financial stocks
 
Creator Madaree, Sudhir
 
Subject — factor analysis; GARCH analysis; financials sector risk; banks
Description Background: The financial sector within the locally listed equity market is an important component of the economy. Understanding the inherent risks of this sector is vital from a portfolio risk management perspective, as such insights can aid in protecting against capital loss in the event of exposure to risk factors in this sector.Aim: The study aims to identify and explain the principal risk factors over time inherent to the financial stock sector of the locally listed equity market, accompanied by explaining the volatility of such principal risk factors.Setting: The study looks at financial sector stocks within the South African listed equity space from June 2007 to March 2017.Methods: The methods used to perform such an investigation were twofold, namely, factor analysis to statistically identify risk factors latent in a basket of financial sector firms and generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) analysis to examine the volatility of the principal risk factors.Results: The findings suggest that the heterogeneity of risk factors within the financial sector has burgeoned in the past five years, explaining a large proportion of risk during this period. However, over the long-term, banks appeared to have been the main factor driving risk within the financial sector, explaining around 55% of risk. The volatility of banks was most noticeable during business cycle falls that were underpinned by known economic or political instability.Conclusion: Banks have been the riskiest factor within financial sector firms over the past decade, explaining more than 50% of risk in recent years and notably susceptible to economic and political uncertainty.
 
Publisher AOSIS Publishing
 
Contributor
Date 2018-09-11
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion — Quantitative research
Format text/html application/epub+zip application/xml application/pdf
Identifier 10.4102/sajems.v21i1.2001
 
Source South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences; Vol 21, No 1 (2018); 12 pages 2222-3436 1015-8812
 
Language eng
 
Relation
The following web links (URLs) may trigger a file download or direct you to an alternative webpage to gain access to a publication file format of the published article:

https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/2001/1589 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/2001/1588 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/2001/1590 https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/2001/1582
 
Coverage South Africa June 2007-May 2017 G10, G11
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 Sudhir Madaree https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
ADVERTISEMENT